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Dengue Forecasting
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
In keeping with President Obama's goals of Data to Action, Dr. Holdren, the Nation's Chief Scientist, launched the Predict the Next Pandemic (PtNP) Initiative. The PtNP Initiative was designed to anticipate disease emergence, identify early indications of disease emergence, determine the pandemic potential of a disease, and forecast impacts and effects of mitigation on disease progression. The Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) established the interagency Pandemic Prediction and Forecasting Science and Technology (PPFST) Working Group within the National Science and Technology Council (NSTC) to achieve these goals.

The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, in collaboration with the Puerto Rico Department of Health, will provide the dengue surveillance data from San Juan, Puerto Rico. The DoD’s Naval Medical Research Unit 6, in collaboration with the Peruvian government, U.S. universities, and the Armed Forces Health Surveillance Center (AFHSC) will provide dengue data from Iquitos, Peru. NOAA, in cooperation with the Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites, will provide environmental and climate data and outputs from climate models.